Question

What will be the average US labor force participation rate for the decade 2040-2049?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction50.1 (32.1 - 63.8)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

32.1

50.08

63.78

Authors:

benjsmith

Opened:

Oct 11, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 31, 2050

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Automation

Warning Issued on 'Population Collapse' by 2100

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Young Americans Are Not Hopeful About Retirement

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

How to Think About Falling Birth Rates

Jacobin•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US labor force participation rate fall below 10%?

2103-02-23

What will be the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States in these years?

81.4

What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US for October 2030?

59.7

Comments

? comments

Authors:

benjsmith

Opened:

Oct 11, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 31, 2050

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Automation

Warning Issued on 'Population Collapse' by 2100

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Young Americans Are Not Hopeful About Retirement

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

How to Think About Falling Birth Rates

Jacobin•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US labor force participation rate fall below 10%?

2103-02-23

What will be the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States in these years?

81.4

What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US for October 2030?

59.7