Question

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction12%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

median 12.0%mean 15.3%

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

89%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

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Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

89%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%