Question

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters161

Community Prediction15% (10% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Sino-Indian War

China

India

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Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Sino-Indian War

China

India

‘No Winners’: US-China Trade War Tensions Continue To Escalate

Daily Caller•Dec 11, 2024

China is getting ready to take on Trump

Spectator (UK)•Dec 16, 2024

Tomgram: Michael Klare, Can Trump Trump China (or Vice Versa)?

OpEdNews•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Comments

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?