Question

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters165

Community Prediction

15%

(9% - 17%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Oct 28, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2021

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

India

Sino-Indian War

China

Inside China's 'Underground Great Wall' primed for WW3: How Beijing hides terrifying intercontinental missiles in vast tunnel network as 'last trump card' if nuclear war breaks out

Daily Mail•Mar 22, 2025

India lodges protest over China’s creation of new counties in disputed border region

Independent•Mar 22, 2025

China's Rivals Flex Aircraft Carrier Muscles

Newsweek•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

12%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%

Comments

? comments