Question

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters161

Community Prediction16%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 16%

median 16.0%mean 16.8%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Sino-Indian War

China

India

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

45%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Sino-Indian War

China

India

India and China Declare Truce — a Lesson in Diplomacy for the West

Strategic Culture•Oct 25, 2024

Can China’s Xi and India’s Modi reset rocky ties after border detente?

Al Jazeera•Oct 25, 2024

India and China start disengaging at Himalayan border after new pact signalling thaw in ties

Independent•Oct 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

45%