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Question

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

0
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction10% (5% - 17.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Geopolitics
Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons
Federation of American Scientists

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