Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

0
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction10% (5% - 17.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Federation of American Scientists
Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons

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