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Question

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

0
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%
median 10.0%mean 16.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Federation of American Scientists
Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons

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