Question

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters123

Community Prediction35% (20% - 66%)

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50%

community: 35%

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Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

The New York Times Best Seller list

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By 2050, will at least 25% of Year-End Billboard Hot 100 songs be primarily composed by AI?

65%

What percentage of the US workforce will be musicians or writers in 2050?

0.218

When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

The New York Times Best Seller list

I Spent Some Time With OpenAI's 'Sora' and I Don't See How Hollywood Survives In the Long Term

Red State•Dec 18, 2024

The Truth About AI-Generated Research And Its Impact On Education

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

Will 2025 Be a "Technology Wake-Up Call" for Clinicians?

Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2050, will at least 25% of Year-End Billboard Hot 100 songs be primarily composed by AI?

65%

What percentage of the US workforce will be musicians or writers in 2050?

0.218

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By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

Make a Prediction

By 2050, will at least 25% of Year-End Billboard Hot 100 songs be primarily composed by AI?

What percentage of the US workforce will be musicians or writers in 2050?

When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?

Comments

By 2050, will at least 25% of Year-End Billboard Hot 100 songs be primarily composed by AI?

What percentage of the US workforce will be musicians or writers in 2050?

When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?

By 2050, will at least 25% of Year-End Billboard Hot 100 songs be primarily composed by AI?

What percentage of the US workforce will be musicians or writers in 2050?

When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?

By 2050, will at least 25% of Year-End Billboard Hot 100 songs be primarily composed by AI?

What percentage of the US workforce will be musicians or writers in 2050?

When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?