Question

Will retail and restaurant locations in the US decline by over 50% between 2020 and 2050?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction37% (29% - 46%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 37%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

E-commerce

Information technology

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

North American Industry Classification System

Nostalgia for the bustling high street is misplaced

Spectator (UK)•Dec 16, 2024

US retailers have shut 7,300 stores so far this year, up nearly 60% from 2023

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Malls are using new restaurants to draw consumers as shopping centers reinvent themselves

NBC•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%

By 2050, will there be fewer than 400 public 4-year colleges in the US?

30%

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

56%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

E-commerce

Information technology

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

North American Industry Classification System

Nostalgia for the bustling high street is misplaced

Spectator (UK)•Dec 16, 2024

US retailers have shut 7,300 stores so far this year, up nearly 60% from 2023

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Malls are using new restaurants to draw consumers as shopping centers reinvent themselves

NBC•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%

By 2050, will there be fewer than 400 public 4-year colleges in the US?

30%

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

56%