Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

33 comments33

Total Forecasters156

Community Prediction52%

Make a Prediction

community: 52%

median 52.0%mean 50.5%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

67%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

Encircling Taiwan was a smokescreen for China's real goal of convincing US not to intervene, expert says

FOX News•Oct 20, 2024

Taiwan downplays threat as China holds live-fire drills around island

Independent•Oct 22, 2024

Why China-Taiwan Relations Are So Tense

•Oct 22, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

67%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%