Question

By 2050, will there be fewer than 400 public 4-year colleges in the US?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction30% (21% - 39%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

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Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Public university

United States

National Center for Education Statistics

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In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Public university

United States

National Center for Education Statistics

6 Top Education Stories For 2025

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

Tennessee State's $43M Bailout Is Your College Planning Wake-Up Call

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

As 2025’s Demographic Cliff Looms, How Far Will College Enrollment Fall?

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

15%

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By 2050, will there be fewer than 400 public 4-year colleges in the US?

Make a Prediction

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

Comments

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?