Question

By 2050, will there be fewer than 400 public 4-year colleges in the US?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction30% (21% - 39%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Jan 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 2, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2056

Public university

United States

National Center for Education Statistics

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In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

12%

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