Question

What will be the US unemployment rate after the next market crash happens?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction8.3

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>15

...

6.145

8.3

11.26

4.1%

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

BLS

Unemployment in the US

S&P 500 Index

What will be the US unemployment rate after the next volatile market episode?

7.18

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

39%

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

BLS

Unemployment in the US

S&P 500 Index

How America's Economy Managed to Avoid Recession, Job Market Disaster

Business Insider•Oct 27, 2024

The one big fear that could upend the bull market

CNBC•Oct 28, 2024

Almost Half of Americans Think 'Total Economic Collapse' Is Coming: Poll

Newsweek•Oct 30, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the US unemployment rate after the next volatile market episode?

7.18

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

39%