Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

Will smoking and sex be less prevalent in the United States in 2050 than in 2021?

Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction62.1% (45% - 80%)

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50%
community: 62.1%
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