Question

What will be the levelised cost of PV solar energy in 2030, in 2021 USD per kWh?

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction0.0183 (0.0125 - 0.0269)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

	<0.005	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>0.2
community	1.9%	0.01246	0.01832	0.0269	2.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<0.005	1.9%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	0.01246	—
median	0.01832	—
upper 75%	0.0269	—
Upper bound
>0.2	2.3%	—

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Nov 19, 2021

Closes:

Jul 10, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

Environment & Climate

Levelized cost of energy

Environmental science

Solar physics

This alien-like field of mirrors in the desert was once the future of solar energy. It’s closing after just 11 years

CNN•Feb 13, 2025

Tough But Doable? Financing Net Zero May Require $4 Trillion By 2050

Forbes•Feb 13, 2025

SolarSquare raises $40 million in India’s largest solar venture round

TechCrunch•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How much new solar PV capacity will be installed globally in 2030?

1.28k

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

30%

What will be the levelized cost of battery storage in 2027?

202

Comments

? comments