Question

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction

2051

(2042 - 2065)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2100
community	2042	2051	2065	6.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2042	—
median	2051	—
upper 75%	2065	—
Upper bound
>410244480000%	6.5%	—

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Nov 19, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 21, 2021

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2015 United Nations Climate Change Conference

World energy consumption

Energy

Solar power

Fossil fuel

Environmental science

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