🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?

20
11
Total Forecasters60
Community Prediction2051-05-10 (2042-06-08 - 2065-11-25)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2100-01-01
...
...
...
...
2042-06-08 03:05
2051-05-10 17:49
2065-11-25 04:29
6.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
2015 United Nations Climate Change Conference
World energy consumption
Energy
Solar power
BP
Fossil fuel
Environmental science
US Department of Energy

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