Question

Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters106

Community Prediction20% (12% - 29%)

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50%

community: 20%

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casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Small modular reactor

Rolls-Royce Holdings

Akademik Lomonosov

Russia

Doosan Enerbility to supply SMR parts to US TerraPower

Korea Herald•Dec 19, 2024

‘Not a hope in hell’ nuclear power can replace Australian coal-fired power by 2040, inquiry hears

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Sam Altman-backed nuclear startup Oklo lands massive data center power deal, with caveats

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2030?

24.6

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2050?

26.1

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

12.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Small modular reactor

Rolls-Royce Holdings

Akademik Lomonosov

Russia

Doosan Enerbility to supply SMR parts to US TerraPower

Korea Herald•Dec 19, 2024

‘Not a hope in hell’ nuclear power can replace Australian coal-fired power by 2040, inquiry hears

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Sam Altman-backed nuclear startup Oklo lands massive data center power deal, with caveats

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2030?

24.6

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2050?

26.1

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

12.5%

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Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Make a Prediction

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2030?

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2050?

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

Comments

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2030?

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2050?

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2030?

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2050?

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2030?

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2050?

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?