Question

Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters106

Community Prediction20% (13% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 6, 2021

Closes:

Apr 11, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

Environment & Climate

Small modular reactor

Rolls-Royce Holdings

Akademik Lomonosov

Russia

India wants to embrace nuclear power. To do it, it’ll need a lot of time and money

Associated Press•Feb 12, 2025

Google says U.S. is facing a power capacity crisis in AI race against China

NBC•Feb 13, 2025

Want Clean, 'Green' Electricity? New Modular Reactor Project in Tennessee Is the Answer.

Red State•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2030?

24.5

What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2050?

29.2

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

12.5%

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