Question

When will Omicron become the predominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the U.S.?

Resolved :Dec 19, 2021

78 comments78

Total Forecasters208

Community Prediction2021-12-22

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-07-01

...

2021-12-18 11:35

2021-12-22 03:11

2021-12-30 04:19

0.5%

What was the final result?Dec 19, 2021

Community Baseline Score

60.9

Community Peer Score

70.3

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

1.4%

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