Question

Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta?

Resolved :Yes

63 comments63

Total Forecasters439

Community Prediction98%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

66.4

Community Peer Score

12.2

median 98.0%mean 95.2%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

Epidemiology

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

Epidemiology

WHO says mpox cases in Congo’s epicenter where the new variant was detected may be ‘plateauing’

Associated Press•Nov 11, 2024

Mpox Cases Plateau in Congo's Epicenter But Rise in Other Countries

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

COVID Map Update Reveals Shift in 'Very High' Water Virus Levels

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01