Question

When will the EU pass the AI Act?

Resolved :May 21, 20242024-05-30

14 comments14

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction2024-05-30 (2024-04-22 - 2024-07-27)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2024-04-22 06:02

2024-05-30 19:55

2024-07-27 14:11

What was the final result?May 21, 2024

Community Baseline Score

19.2

Community Peer Score

9.9

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Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Artificial Intelligence

Council of the European Union

European Commission

European Union

European Parliament

Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence

European Economic and Social Committee

UK consults on opt-out model for training AIs on copyrighted content

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

A Fundamental-Rights Centered EU Digital Policy: EFF’s Recommendations 2024-2029

Electronic Frontier Foundation•Dec 13, 2024

The Trump administration could reverse progress on AI regulation

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

56%

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

26%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Artificial Intelligence

Council of the European Union

European Commission

European Union

European Parliament

Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence

European Economic and Social Committee

UK consults on opt-out model for training AIs on copyrighted content

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

A Fundamental-Rights Centered EU Digital Policy: EFF’s Recommendations 2024-2029

Electronic Frontier Foundation•Dec 13, 2024

The Trump administration could reverse progress on AI regulation

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

56%

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

26%

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When will the EU pass the AI Act?

Make a Prediction

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

Comments

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?