Question

What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022?

Resolved :1.09M

37 comments37

Total Forecasters192

Community Prediction1.09M

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2M

...

1.078M

1.093M

1.111M

0.3%

What was the final result?1.09M

Community Baseline Score

80.7

Community Peer Score

34.0

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Trends 2022

2022 Scott Alexander predictions

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

COVID: CDC Reveals When to Expect Hospitalizations to Peak This Year

Newsweek•Oct 29, 2024

8 million people were infected with TB in 2023. WHO says that’s the highest it has seen

Associated Press•Oct 30, 2024

How many days until the 2024 presidential election? See the countdown clock

USA Today•Nov 4, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

176k

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

236

Comments

? comments