Question

Will 2022 be the hottest year on record?

Resolved :No

48 comments48

Total Forecasters433

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

81.2

Community Peer Score

23.4

median 1.0%mean 3.0%

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Trends 2022

Environment & Climate

Climate change denial

Will the following years be the warmest year on record?

When will the global annual mean surface air temperature moving average first exceed 1.3°C relative to the 1951-1980 base period?

2029-12-17

Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

23%

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