Question
Question
Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023?
Resolved :NoTotal Forecasters616
Community Prediction1%
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
90.5
Community Peer Score
7.4
median 1.0%mean 1.4%
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
10%
Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
67%
Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
1%
Comments
? commentsAuthors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
10%
Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
67%
Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
1%