Question

What will be the cost of sequencing a whole human genome in 2026 (in 2021 USD)?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction118 (73.8 - 198)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

0.2%

73.76

118.3

198.2

1.9%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

galaga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

National Human Genome Research Institute

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

The biggest science stories that lit up our world in 2024

PBS NewsHour•Dec 21, 2024

Greenland sharks have massive genomes. Scientists think they could be the reason behind 400-year-long lifespans

CNN•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a whole human genome in 2031?

62.5

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a full human genome in the following years?

341

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

galaga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

National Human Genome Research Institute

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

The biggest science stories that lit up our world in 2024

PBS NewsHour•Dec 21, 2024

Greenland sharks have massive genomes. Scientists think they could be the reason behind 400-year-long lifespans

CNN•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a whole human genome in 2031?

62.5

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a full human genome in the following years?

341

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

What will be the cost of sequencing a whole human genome in 2026 (in 2021 USD)?

Make a Prediction

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a whole human genome in 2031?

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a full human genome in the following years?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

Comments

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a whole human genome in 2031?

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a full human genome in the following years?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a whole human genome in 2031?

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a full human genome in the following years?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a whole human genome in 2031?

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a full human genome in the following years?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?