Question

By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light?

Resolved :Yes96%

40 comments40

Total Forecasters149

Community Prediction96% (90% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 96%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

88.2

Community Peer Score

6.9

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Jan 1, 2022

Closes:

Jan 25, 2022

Resolves:

Feb 3, 2022

Hubble Space Telescope

Astrophysics

NASA

James Webb Space Telescope

Goddard Space Flight Center

Fine guidance sensor

NASA space observatory poised to launch on a mission to map 450 million galaxies

NBC•Feb 27, 2025

NASA set to launch SPHEREx space telescope to scan entire sky

New Scientist•Feb 28, 2025

New NASA Space Telescope Will See the Universe in 102 Colors

Scientific American•Feb 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be launched?

2029-07-29

Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?

0.1%

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

28%

Comments

? comments