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M

Question

After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?

35
47
Total Forecasters282
Community Prediction46.6 (13.3 - 164)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<0.033
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>600
...
...
...
...
...
2.0%
13.26
46.59
164.1
12.1%
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Ethics
Philosophy
Superintelligence
Robin Hanson
Nobel Prize
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Nick Bostrom
Artificial general intelligence
Paul Christiano
RoboCup

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