M

Question

When will the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf Collapse?

Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction2027-05-03 (2026-01-11 - 2029-04-27)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Jan 2026
medianMay 2027
upper 75%Apr 2029
Upper bound
>2031-12-319.9%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 2, 2022
Closes:Mar 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Dec 29, 2032

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