Question
When will the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf Collapse?
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction2027-05-03 (2026-01-11 - 2029-04-27)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | Jan 2026 | — |
median | May 2027 | — |
upper 75% | Apr 2029 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2031-12-31 | 9.9% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 2, 2022
Closes:Mar 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Dec 29, 2032
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 2, 2022
Closes:Mar 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Dec 29, 2032