MetaculusM

Question

Question

Will China execute or be targeted in an acknowledged national military attack before 1 September 2018?

Resolved :No

6

Total Forecasters126

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

96.9

Community Peer Score

6.7

median 1.0%mean 1.9%

Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Comments

? comments

Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge