Question

When will Xi Jinping leave power in China?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction2031-01-04

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2042-01-01

...

2028-02-01 17:28

2031-01-04 10:57

2033-12-18 15:39

3.8%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

National People's Congress

Communist Party of China

China

Politburo of the Communist Party of China

Central Military Commission (China)

Mao Zedong

Xi Jinping

Biden and Xi will meet on Saturday, the 3rd and likely final time during Biden's term

NPR Online News•Nov 14, 2024

Biden to meet for a final time with Xi this week as a new Trump era of China relations begins

CNN•Nov 14, 2024

'Figure something out': Ominous comment suggests Trump may not leave in 2028

Raw Story•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030?

60%

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

2029-04-28

Xi Jinping Leader of China in 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

Comments

? comments