Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?
7
2 comments
2
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
12
Community Prediction
57.1
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
46.03
57.07
64.31
Background Info
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
Physiology
World Health Organization
Ophthalmology
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Near-sightedness
LASIK
National Institutes of Health
United States
Surgery
Medicine
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
Physiology
World Health Organization
Ophthalmology
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Near-sightedness
LASIK
National Institutes of Health
United States
Surgery
Medicine
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Similar Questions
How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?
1.26
Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?
60%
What percentage of Americans will be obese in 2032?
44.2
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?
1.26
Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?
60%
What percentage of Americans will be obese in 2032?
44.2
Show More Questions
News Match
Violet Light Deprivation is Causing a Global Myopia Epidemic
Psychology Today
•
Nov 11, 2024
Why we now think the myopia epidemic can be slowed – or even reversed
New Scientist
•
Nov 14, 2024
More than 800 million people around the world have diabetes, study finds
Guardian
•
Nov 14, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Violet Light Deprivation is Causing a Global Myopia Epidemic
Psychology Today
•
Nov 11, 2024
Why we now think the myopia epidemic can be slowed – or even reversed
New Scientist
•
Nov 14, 2024
More than 800 million people around the world have diabetes, study finds
Guardian
•
Nov 14, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch