🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

7
2
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction57.2 (45.8 - 63.9)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
45.77
57.23
63.94
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
Physiology
Ophthalmology
Near-sightedness
LASIK
United States
Surgery
Medicine
National Institutes of Health
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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