M

Question

When will Magnus Carlsen no longer be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction2026-07-18 (2025-05-23 - 2028-02-22)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%May 2025
medianJul 2026
upper 75%Feb 2028
Upper bound
>2035-01-011.9%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035

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