Question

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction40% (30% - 46%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 26, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

In vitro fertilisation

Polygenic score

Hebrew University of Jerusalem

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Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

78%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

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