Question

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction78% (68% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 78%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regenerative medicine

Science and technology in Israel

Thousands of Jews have left Israel since the October 7 attacks

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

He Brought Down NASDAQ's DEI Policies. Then He Went to the Gaza Border.

Washington Free Beacon•Dec 22, 2024

For thousands of Jews, Israel still doesn’t feel safe after the Oct. 7 attacks. So they’re leaving

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regenerative medicine

Science and technology in Israel

Thousands of Jews have left Israel since the October 7 attacks

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

He Brought Down NASDAQ's DEI Policies. Then He Went to the Gaza Border.

Washington Free Beacon•Dec 22, 2024

For thousands of Jews, Israel still doesn’t feel safe after the Oct. 7 attacks. So they’re leaving

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

22%