Question

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction55.2% (50% - 62%)

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50%

community: 55.2%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

Genetics

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Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

Genetics

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

For kids with rare genetic disorders, customized CRISPR treatments offer hope

NPR Online News•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Make a Prediction

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?