Question

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction2031-01-15 (2028-01-11 - 2034-08-22)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2038-01-01
community	Jan 2028	Jan 2031	Aug 2034	9.4%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Jan 2028	—
median	Jan 2031	—
upper 75%	Aug 2034	—
Upper bound
>2038-01-01	9.4%	—

Authors:

Natalia_Mendonca

Opened:

Jan 30, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2037

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2038

Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine

Founded by DeepMind alumnus, Latent Labs launches with $50M to make biology programmable

TechCrunch•Feb 13, 2025

Millionaire biohacker Bryan Johnson makes shock Netflix announcement

Daily Mail•Feb 18, 2025

Inside biohacker Bryan Johnson’s bizarre $349-a-ticket Don’t Die Summit’s supplements, penis talk and a grim reaper cameo

New York Post•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

22%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%

Comments

? comments