Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2040?

7
3
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction98.2 (92.8 - 99.5)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
92.77
98.25
99.54
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
elifland
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Technical Benchmarks
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Data analysis
SAT
Machine learning

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