Question

When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

48 comments48

Total Forecasters152

Community Prediction2030-12-28 (2029-03-15 - 2030-12-28)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2030-12-28

...

2029-03-15 22:26

>2030-12-28 00:00

51.2%

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Jun 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Aerospace engineering

Fluid dynamics

Supersonic flight will see a dramatic return in 2025 with new aircraft

New Scientist•Jan 28, 2025

Boom: America’s answer to Concorde prepares for first supersonic flight

CNN•Jan 28, 2025

'Son of Concorde' supersonic jet breaks sound barrier... here's how long it'll take to travel from NYC to London

Daily Mail•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

2034-07-19

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Jun 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Aerospace engineering

Fluid dynamics

Supersonic flight will see a dramatic return in 2025 with new aircraft

New Scientist•Jan 28, 2025

Boom: America’s answer to Concorde prepares for first supersonic flight

CNN•Jan 28, 2025

'Son of Concorde' supersonic jet breaks sound barrier... here's how long it'll take to travel from NYC to London

Daily Mail•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a commercial service to travel between London and New York City in under three hours before 2030?

When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

2034-07-19

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%