Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%
31
39
Total Forecasters387
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
36.4
Community Peer Score
31.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
ClayGraubard
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Mark A. Milley
Russo-Ukrainian War
Ukraine
Russia

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