Question

Will more than 100,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous99%

94 comments94

Total Forecasters783

Community Prediction99% (98% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

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Authors:

ClayGraubard casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Russia Suffers Deadliest Day of War So Far: Kyiv

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

North Korea To Deploy More Troops to Russia After Over '1,000' Killed: Seoul

Newsweek•Dec 23, 2024

Over 1,000 North Korean casualties in Ukraine war — Seoul – DW – 12

•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

63%

Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?

0.1%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ClayGraubard casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Russia Suffers Deadliest Day of War So Far: Kyiv

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

North Korea To Deploy More Troops to Russia After Over '1,000' Killed: Seoul

Newsweek•Dec 23, 2024

Over 1,000 North Korean casualties in Ukraine war — Seoul – DW – 12

•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

63%

Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?

0.1%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will more than 100,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Comments

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?