Question

Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?

Resolved :No1%

41 comments41

Total Forecasters544

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

67.6

Community Peer Score

20.9

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Feb 25, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Donetsk People's Republic

Moldova–Transnistria relations

Transnistria

Moldova

Luhansk People's Republic

Russia

Russian gas shutdown forces closure of almost all industry in Transnistria

Guardian•Jan 26, 2025

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Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Should Russia cut a real estate deal with Ukraine to end the war?

Strategic Culture•Jan 28, 2025

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