Question

Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No

31 comments31

Total Forecasters200

Community Prediction1%

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community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.5

Community Peer Score

14.6

median 1.0%mean 3.0%

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Geopolitics

Russo-Ukrainian War

Ukraine–NATO relations

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Comments

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Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Geopolitics

Russo-Ukrainian War

Ukraine–NATO relations

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Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%