Question

Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?

Resolved :Yes

78 comments78

Total Forecasters658

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

13.7

Community Peer Score

3.0

median 99.0%mean 95.4%

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Yamal–Europe pipeline

Member state of the European Union

Angela Merkel: Russian Gas Deals a Necessity for German Industry that Helped Placate Moscow

Breitbart•Nov 26, 2024

Ukraine says Russia's "tactics of terror" apparent in huge missile attack on energy sector as winter arrives

CBS•Nov 28, 2024

Ukraine's power grid under 'massive attack' from Russia as frozen temperatures set in

NBC•Nov 28, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025?

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?

Comments

? comments