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What will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates?
Dec-2026:
213
4
47 comments
47
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?
1%
14
32 comments
32
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2031-10-13
176
479 comments
479
AGI Outcomes
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2027-10-23
201
476 comments
476
AI Progress Essay Contest
Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025?
10%
112
267 comments
267
When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
2025-02-26
58
99 comments
99
Effective Institutions Project
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
2039-10-29
2
15 comments
15
Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?
51%
32
98 comments
98
AGI Outcomes
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
98.5%
≤3 nm
84%
≤2 nm
40%
10
5 comments
5
Chinese AI Chips
When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?
2037-06-10
18
35 comments
35
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