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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Ivanivske
92%
Velyka Novosilka
70%
Kostyantynivka
65%
13 others
21
84 comments
84
How many arms sales globally will the US State Department approve in the fourth quarter of 2024?
36.2
49 forecasters
3
24 comments
24
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will North Korea deploy military personnel to Ukraine before January 1, 2025?
25%
50 forecasters
7
1 comment
1
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024?
19%
46 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
2026-01-07
218 forecasters
34
61 comments
61
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?
3%
504 forecasters
15
29 comments
29
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will a bilateral ceasefire be announced in the Ukraine war, before April 19, 2025?
11 forecasters
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
7
8 comments
8
Will China officially announce export restrictions on any additional metals before January 1, 2025?
22%
57 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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