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Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024?
19%
46 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
2%
708 forecasters
53
202 comments
202
Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
20%
112 forecasters
11
55 comments
55
In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?
3.3%
510 forecasters
13
15 comments
15
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?
8%
543 forecasters
21
21 comments
21
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs in 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
499 forecasters
9
26 comments
26
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?
Hillary Clinton
1%
Barack Obama
1%
Joe Biden
1%
8 others
3
9 comments
9
Will Edmundo Gonzรกlez, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?
79%
16 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
Before 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?
Resolved :
Annulled
213 forecasters
28
20 comments
20
Regulation of AI
Will the US break up Google before 1 January 2026?
10%
5 forecasters
2
10 comments
10
Verity
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