Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will assisted dying for terminally ill adults be legal for the majority of United Kingdom residents before 2030?
Forecast data is empty
6
3 comments
3
Will the certification of the 2024 US Presidential election be delayed until after January 6, 2024 for any reason?
Forecast data is empty
4 comments
4
Verity
Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before October 31, 2024?
4%
18
34 comments
34
Animal Welfare Series
Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
4
21 comments
21
When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?
2031-02-06
5
12 comments
12
Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election?
0%
6
2 comments
2
Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
9
288 comments
288
Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
26
81 comments
81
Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election?
Resolved :
Yes
41
105 comments
105
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?
10%
10
8 comments
8
Regulation of AI
Load more