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Will North Korea perform its seventh nuclear test before 2025?
8%
5
5 comments
5
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will humans go extinct before 2100?
1%
72
331 comments
331
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
69%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Ukraine
30%
Israel
25%
Pakistan
16%
5 others
6
8 comments
8
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?
9
61%
10
31%
11
10%
4 others
4
12 comments
12
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
if yes
if no
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
50%
50%
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
50%
50%
7
2 comments
2
2024 Electoral Consequences
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?
55%
63
153 comments
153
Verity
Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
1%
19
26 comments
26
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?
5%
11
15 comments
15
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
2%
4
no comments
0
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