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How many U.S. federal executive department heads will the incoming administration announce between the election and December 16, 2024?
12-15
Yes
0-3
No
4-5
No
3 others
3
30 comments
30
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Which party will the new Prime Minister of Iceland belong to after the 2024 parliamentary elections?
No prime minister
54.05%
Social Democratic Alliance
23.16%
Other party
16.02%
3 others
3
18 comments
18
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will the Russian government officially ban YouTube before January 1, 2025?
3%
83 forecasters
8
10 comments
10
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?
Contested
90%
Israel
10%
Hamas
0.5%
3 others
25
75 comments
75
Israel-Gaza Conflict
In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?
Resolved :
49
59 forecasters
8
27 comments
27
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
2%
708 forecasters
53
202 comments
202
Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?
Resolved :
Yes
66 forecasters
7
15 comments
15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?
97%
775 forecasters
31
46 comments
46
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, 2028, or 2032?
8%
174 forecasters
17
27 comments
27
Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?
45%
478 forecasters
14
22 comments
22
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
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