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How many U.S. federal executive department heads will the incoming administration announce between the election and December 16, 2024?
12-15
Yes
0-3
No
4-5
No
3 others
3
30 comments
30
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
Who will be elected to be President of Romania in 2024?
Other
Yes
Marcel Ciolacu
No
Mircea Geoanฤ
No
8 others
1
49 comments
49
Which party will the new Prime Minister of Iceland belong to after the 2024 parliamentary elections?
No prime minister
53.55%
Social Democratic Alliance
23.37%
Other party
16.26%
3 others
3
18 comments
18
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
Will the Senate vote to reject at least one of Trump's cabinet-level nominees?
14 forecasters
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
3 comments
3
Nonzero Newsletter Community
Will the Russian government officially ban YouTube before January 1, 2025?
3%
86 forecasters
8
10 comments
10
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?
Contested
92%
Israel
10%
Hamas
0.4%
3 others
25
75 comments
75
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025?
97%
61 forecasters
8
14 comments
14
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?
Forecast data is empty
6 comments
6
2024 Electoral Consequences
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?
58%
422 forecasters
63
158 comments
158
Verity
Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Romania?
Someone else
Yes
Marcel Ciolacu
No
Mircea Geoanฤ
No
4 others
3
9 comments
9
2024 International Elections Hub
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