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Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

1321 forecasters

138

200 comments200

Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 United States presidential election?

Kamala Harris (& Others)

14

Will Robin Hanson win his bet against Matthew Barnett on whether ems will come before de novo AGI?

16

By January 1, 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days?

270 forecasters

37

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

269 forecasters

36

Will Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel retract his view that he wants to die by 75?

11

When will there be at least one billion Americans?

13

When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?

10

When will there be at least 500 million Americans?

14

What will China's total population be in these years?

3