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Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?
40%
393 forecasters
43
70 comments
70
Verity
Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
5%
718 forecasters
24
90 comments
90
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?
4
99%
5
1%
3
No
4 others
5
32 comments
32
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
25%
1251 forecasters
174
88 comments
88
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
Terran R
Jan 1, 2026
Neutron
Aug 25, 2025
Starship
Jan 9, 2025
3 others
19
73 comments
73
๐ฐ The Sagan Space Tournament ๐ฐ
Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024?
29%
358 forecasters
7
5 comments
5
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
2025:
2.64
106 forecasters
13
13 comments
13
๐ฐ The Sagan Space Tournament ๐ฐ
Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024?
0.1%
328 forecasters
6
9 comments
9
Five years after AGI, will a โlong reflectionโ be underway?
8%
23 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
Five Years After AGI
Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?
1%
4236 forecasters
906
452 comments
452
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