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How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?
4
95%
5
4%
2
No
4 others
5
31 comments
31
What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
End of 2024:
3.5k
42 forecasters
6
22 comments
22
Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
8%
715 forecasters
24
89 comments
89
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will the Russian government officially ban YouTube before January 1, 2025?
3.2%
80 forecasters
8
10 comments
10
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
Terran R
Jan 1, 2026
Neutron
Aug 21, 2025
Starship
Jan 4, 2025
3 others
19
73 comments
73
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?
1%
495 forecasters
14
55 comments
55
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
75%
Vietnam
72%
9 others
6
8 comments
8
Chinese AI Chips
When will models hit 90% on SWE-Bench (Verified Version)
2026-04-28
8 forecasters
3
no comments
0
David Mathers' Community
Will Pavel Durov leave France before January 1, 2025?
17%
40 forecasters
12
16 comments
16
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?
0.1%
45 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
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