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When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

155 forecasters

29

Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c (> 1)?

9

What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years?

4

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

What will be the total number of successful orbital rocket launches in the following years?

5

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100?

332 forecasters

39

Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c?

6

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

243 forecasters

9

121 comments121

Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?

10

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?

375 forecasters

44

The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?

15