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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?
1%
35 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
35.2k
53 forecasters
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?
Resolved :
Yes
82 forecasters
14
25 comments
25
Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?
Resolved :
No
92 forecasters
22
72 comments
72
Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11?
Resolved :
Yes
163 forecasters
35
165 comments
165
Will the Taliban capture downtown Kandahar before the start of Ramadan?
Resolved :
Yes
9 forecasters
16
14 comments
14
When will the Taliban take Kabul?
Resolved :
Aug 15, 2021
77 forecasters
21
39 comments
39
Will Zablon Simintov, the last remaining Jew in Afghanistan, leave before Kabul is captured by the Taliban?
Resolved :
No
24 forecasters
8
20 comments
20
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