Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?
99%
275 forecasters
30
83 comments
83
In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?
2049-02-25
110 forecasters
25
39 comments
39
AGI Outcomes
When will we have transformative AI?
2042-04-03
144 forecasters
24
62 comments
62
AGI Outcomes